Науковий вісник НГУ

Evaluation of level of internal investment risks in region

• 
• 

User Rating:  / 0

PoorBest 

Details

Category: Economy and management

Last Updated on 09 May 2014

Published on 16 April 2013

Hits: 3953

Authors:

S.M. Tkach, Institute of Regional Researches of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Postgraduate Student, Senior Engineer, Lviv, Ukraine

Abstract:

Purpose. To consider investment risks in the region as a whole and in the context of spheres of influence on the example of Lviv region.

Methodology. Comprehensive assessment of the investment risks of the region is based on the calculation of 25 relative indices for the period of 2000–2011. The chosen set of parameters characterizes the grade of risks in key areas of impact (economic, social, technical, environmental and criminal) on the state of investment in the region. The integrated indicators for different types of risk and the consolidated investment risk in the region are calculated using taxonomic method. The assessment of risks is made on the basis of the Harrington’s scale modified by the author. The official statistical data published in the Statistical Yearbook and on the site of the Main Statistical Office in Lviv region became the main informational base of the study.

Findings. The analysis and assessment of the risks of investing in the Lviv region have been made by the key areas of influence. The following tendencies were found out. At the beginning of the analyzed period (2000–2001) the most considerable risks for investment in Lviv were social and economic. Later (in 2002–2005) the emphasis shifted to the criminal risks, and in 2008, along with economic threats the problem of technical equipment of the industrial complex of Lviv region has gained a particular urgency, ant it remains unsolved. In general, in Lviv region the average level of internal investment risks has dominated. This indicates a favorable investment climate in the region and the opportunity to increase investment activity in the territory.

Originality. The offered technique allows us to assess the regional investment risks as a whole and by its individual components.

Practical value. The results of diagnosis of the level and dynamics of investment risks in the region form an analytical basis for the creating of respective programs and forecasts for the development of investment activities by the regional and central authorities.

References:

1. Духненко В. Методика оценки инвестиционной привлекательности регионов Украины / В. Духненко, О. Дуброва, А. Хисамов // Рейтинг инвестиционной привлекательности регионов Украины № 1. – Эксперт Украина. – 2005 г. – № 49 (52). – С. 70–82.

Dukhnenko, V. Dubrova, O. and Khisamov, A. (2005), “The methodology of evaluation of investment attractiveness of the regions of Ukraine. Rating of investment attractiveness of the regions of Ukraine No.1”, Ekspert Ukraina, December 26, 2005, no.49 (52). pp. 70–82.

2. Звягинцева О. Оценка инвестиционного риска региона / О. Звягинцева // Экономист. – 2010. – № 2. – С.71–77.

Zvyagintseva, O. (2010), “Evaluation of investment risk of the region”, Economist, no.2, pp. 71–77.

3. Тхакушинов Э.К. Формирование системы оценок инвестиционных рисков в регионе / Э. К. Тхакушинов // Вестник ЮРГТУ (НПИ). – 2010. – № 4. – C. 39–43.

Tkhakushinov, E.K. (2010), “Forming the system of evaluation of investment risks in the region”, Bulletin SRSTU (NPI), no. 4, pp. 39–43.

4. Euromoney-Country-Risk-Methodology [Електронний ресурс]/ The Economist. – Режим доступу: http://www.euromoney.com/Article/2773899/Euromoney-Country-Risk-Methodology.html

“Euromoney-Country-Risk-Methodology”, Economist, available at: http://www.euromoney.com/Article/2773899/Euromoney-Country-Risk-Methodology.html

5. Standarts & Poors [Електронний ресурс]– Режим доступу: http://www.standardandpoors.com

“Standarts & Poors”,available at: http://www.standardandpoors.com

6. Ткач С.М. Методика комплексного оцінювання ризиків інвестиційної безпеки регіону /С.М. Ткач // „Інвестиції: практика та досвід“ – К., 2012. – № 17. – С. 15–19.

Tkach, S.M. (2012), “Methodology of comprehensive assessment of the investment risks safety in the region”, Investments: Practice and Experience, Kyiv, no.17,pp. 15–19.

7. Офіційний сайт Головного управління статистики у Львівській області: [Електронний ресурс] / Державний комітет статистики України. – Режим доступу: http://www.stat.lviv.ua.

Official site of the Central Statistical Office in Lviv region, State Statistics Committee of Ukraine, available at: http://www.stat.lviv.ua

8. Статистичний щорічник Львівської області за 2000 рік / Державний комітет статистики України. Головне управління статистики у Львівській області; [під ред. С. О. Матковського] . – Львів, 2001. – 440 с.

Matkovsky, S.O. (2001), Statystychnyi shchorichnyk Lvivskoi oblasti za 2000 rik [Statistical Yearbook of the Lviv Region for 2000], State Statistics Committee of Ukraine. Main Statistical Office in Lviv region, Lviv, Ukraine.

9. Статистичний щорічник Львівської області за 2005 рік: [у 2-х част.] / Державний комітет статистики України. Головне управління статистики у Львівській області; [під ред. С.О. Матковського]. – Львів, 2006 . – Ч. 1. – 366 с.; Ч. 2. – 358 с.

Matkovsky, S.O. (2006), Statystychnyi shchorichnyk Lvivskoi oblasti za 2000 rik [Statistical Yearbook of the Lviv Region for 2005], in 2 parts, State Statistics Committee of Ukraine. Main Statistical Office in Lviv region, Lviv, Ukraine.

10. Статистичний щорічник Львівської області за 2011 рік: [у 2-х част.] / Державний комітет статистики України. Головне управління статистики уЛьвівській області; [під ред. С.І.Зимовіної]. – Львів, 2012. – Ч.1. – 368 с.; Ч.2. – 288 с.

Zymovina, S.I. (2012), Statystychnyi shchorichnyk Lvivskoi oblasti za 2000 rik [Statistical Yearbook of the Lviv Region for the year 2011], in 2 parts, State Statistics Committee of Ukraine. Main Statistical Office in Lviv region, Lviv, Ukraine.

2013_2_tkach
2014-05-06  355.59 KB  968

• < Prev
• Next >