Sustainable development of the economy in the conditions of the energy crisis
- Details
- Category: Content №4 2022
- Last Updated on 29 August 2022
- Published on 30 November -0001
- Hits: 3470
Authors:
I.Shtunder, orcid.org/0000-0001-7778-3072, State University of Trade and Economics, Kyiv, Ukraine, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
S.Kushnir, orcid.org/0000-0002-1410-1887, Zaporizhzhia National University, Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
I.Perevozova, orcid.org/0000-0002-3878-802X, Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical Oil and Gas University, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
S.Kalinina, orcid.org/0000-0002-2892-0410, Ukrainian State Employment Service Training Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
E.Savchenko, orcid.org/0000-0002-7384-6029, Ukrainian State Employment Service Training Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
V.Nitsenko, orcid.org/0000-0002-2185-0341, SCIRE Foundation, Warsaw, the Republic of Poland, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu. 2022, (4): 156 - 161
https://doi.org/10.33271/nvngu/2022-4/156
Abstract:
Purpose. To establish the factors of the impact of the energy crisis on the formation of a sustainable economy. To propose a method for forecasting the balance of energy production and consumption. To establish the level of correlation between sustainable development indicators and energy indicators.
Methodology. Cognition methods were used to perform the work: analysis and synthesis to choose the topic and purpose of the study; content analysis for literature review; critical analysis to identify unsolved aspects of the problem and national characteristics of the crisis; the ascent from the abstract to the concrete to prove the relationship between the energy crisis and achievement of the sustainable development goals (SDG); system analysis to substantiate the need for energy balance and import substitution of energy resources; induction and deduction for the selection of SDGs, which are affected by the energy crisis and energy balance forecasting models, establishing the level of correlation with SDG indicators; idealization and formalization to identify factors inhibiting the formation of a sustainable economy.
Findings. It is established that in addition to the global factors of the energy crisis, national economies have their own factors influencing the pace of achieving the SDG. The main reasons for the gap between energy production and consumption and trends in import substitution in the energy sector are indicated. The presence of direct and reverse effects of energy development and sustainable development is proved. It is established that the solution to the problem of sustainable economic development is to systematically ensure the dynamic balance of production and consumption of energy, and import substitution of energy resources.
Originality. The reasons for reducing the level of relevance of forecasting and energy plan required to achieve the SDG are identified. There is a significant level of correlation between the Mtoe indicator and groups of SDG indicators and the fact that indicator of relative fluctuations as for average Mtoe is an integral indicator of the SDG achievement.
Practical value. The MCDA method and a quantitative approach to its implementation are proposed to forecast energy consumption and to model sustainable development scenarios.
Keywords: energy crisis, sustainable development, technological renewal, import substitution of energy resources
References:
1. Resniova, E., & Ponomarenko, T. (2021). Sustainable Development of the Energy Sector in a Country Deficient in Mineral Resources: The Case of the Republic of Moldova. Sustainability, 13, 3261. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13063261.
2. Havrysh, V., Nitsenko, V., Perevozova, I., Kulyk, T., & Vasylyk, O. (2022). Alternative Vehicle Fuels Management: Energy, Environmental and Economic Aspects. In Zaporozhets A. (Ed.). Advanced Energy Technologies and Systems I. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 395, 91-115. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-85746-2_5.
3. Klarin, T. (2018). The Concept of Sustainable Development: From its Beginning to the Contemporary Issues. Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, 21(1), 67-94. https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2018-0005.
4. Vogela, J., Steinbergerba, J.K., ONeilla, D.W., Lambca, W.F., & Krishnakumard, J. (2021). Socio-economic conditions for satisfying human needs at low energy use: An international analysis of social provisioning. Global Environmental Change, 69, 102287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102287.
5. Burke, M.J. (2020). Energy-Sufficiency for a Just Transition: ASystematic Review. Energies, 13(10), 2444. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13102444.
6. Haberl, H., Wiedenhofer, D., Vir ag, D., Kalt, G., Plank, B., Brockway, P., , & Creutzig, F. (2020). A systematic review of the evidence on decoupling of GDP, resource use and GHG emissions, part II: synthesizing the insights. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 065003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab842a.
7. Thomas, S., Thema, J., Brischke, L.-A., Leuser, L., Kopatz, M., & Spitzner, M. (2019). Energy sufficiency policy for residential electricity use and per-capita dwelling size. Energy Efficiency, 12, 1123-1149. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-018-9727-4.
8. Santika, W.G., Anisuzzaman, M., Bahri, P.A., Shafiullah, G.M., Rupf, G.V., & Urmee, T. (2019). From goals to joules: A quantitative approach of interlinkages between energy and the Sustainable Development Goals. Energy Research & Social Science, 50, 201-214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.11.016.
9. Nadimi, R., & Tokimatsu, K. (2018). Energy use analysis in the presence of quality of life, poverty, health, and carbon dioxide emissions. Energy, 153, 671-684. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.03.150.
10. Liu, B., & Matsushima, J. (2019). Annual changes in energy quality and quality of life: A cross-national study of 29 OECD and 37 non-OECD countries. Energy Reports, 5, 1354-1364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2019.09.040.
11. Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N., Boza-Kiss, B., Krey, V., McCollum, D.L., , & Valin, H. (2018). A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies. Nature Energy, 3, 515-527. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6.
12. Millward-Hopkins, J., Steinberger, J.K., Rao, N.D., & Oswald,Y. (2020). Providing decent living with minimum energy: a global scenario. Global Environmental Change, 65, 102168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102168.
13. Nieto, J., Carpintero, O., Miguelb, L.J., & Blas, I. (2020). Macroeconomic modelling under energy constraints: Global low carbon transition scenarios. Energy Policy, 137, 111090. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111090.
14. Oswald, Y., Owen, A., & Steinberger, J.K. (2020). Large inequality in international and intranational energy footprints between income groups and across consumption categories. Nature Energy, 5, 231-239. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0579-8.
15. Kumar, J.C.R., & Majid, M.A. (2020). Renewable energy for sustainable development in India: current status, future prospects, challenges, employment, and investment opportunities. Energy, Sustainability and Society, 10, 2. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13705-019-0232-1.
16. Chen, C., Pinar, M., & Stengos, T. (2020). Renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a threshold model. Energy Policy, 139, 111295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111295.
17. Ozcan, B., & Ozturk, I. (2019). Renewable energy consumption-economic growth nexus in emerging countries: A bootstrap panel causality test. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 104, 30-37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.01.020.
18. Bazaluk, O., Havrysh, V., Cherednichenko, O., & Nitsenko, V. (2021). Chemically Recuperated Gas Turbines for Offshore Platform: Energy and Environmental Performance. Sustainability, 13, 12566. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212566.
19. Andreichenko, A., Andreichenko, S., & Smentyna, N. (2021). Ensuring Biosphere Balance in the Context of Agricultural Waste Management. Philosophy and Cosmology, 26, 46-61. https://doi.org/10.29202/phil-cosm/26/4.
20. Khudolei, V.Y., Ponomarenko, T.V., & Prokopenko, O.V. (2018). Energy efficiency as a part of energy trilemm. Scientific bulletin of Polissia, 1(13), 201-208.
Newer news items:
Older news items:
- Modeling of investment impacts on industrial enterprise profits - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Socio-economic development of enterprises in a permanent crisis - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Hypothesis of a two-level investment system and the prospects for the planned development of the socialist market economy - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Institutional support for the management of environmental-economic relations: economic and legal aspects - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Application of the wavelet transformation theory in the algorithm for constructing a quasigeoid model - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Protection of information resources as an integral part of economic security of the enterprise - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Application of mathematical modelling methods in oil production management - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Accounting and analytical aspects of functioning of enterprises in the context of the introduction of an artificial intelligence system - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Prediction of changes in the vegetation cover of Ukraine due to climate warming - 29/08/2022 03:58
- Problematic issues of attracting criminal responsibility for the crimes against industrial safety - 29/08/2022 03:58