Evaluation of level of internal investment risks in region

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Category: Economy

Last Updated on Friday, 09 May 2014 18:05

Published on Tuesday, 16 April 2013 13:37

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Authors:

S.M. Tkach, Institute of Regional Researches of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Postgraduate Student, Senior Engineer, Lviv, Ukraine

Abstract:

Purpose. To consider investment risks in the region as a whole and in the context of spheres of influence on the example of Lviv region.

Methodology. Comprehensive assessment of the investment risks of the region is based on the calculation of 25 relative indices for the period of 2000–2011. The chosen set of parameters characterizes the grade of risks in key areas of impact (economic, social, technical, environmental and criminal) on the state of investment in the region. The integrated indicators for different types of risk and the consolidated investment risk in the region are calculated using taxonomic method. The assessment of risks is made on the basis of the Harrington’s scale modified by the author. The official statistical data published in the Statistical Yearbook and on the site of the Main Statistical Office in Lviv region became the main informational base of the study.

Findings. The analysis and assessment of the risks of investing in the Lviv region have been made by the key areas of influence. The following tendencies were found out. At the beginning of the analyzed period (2000–2001) the most considerable risks for investment in Lviv were social and economic. Later (in 2002–2005) the emphasis shifted to the criminal risks, and in 2008, along with economic threats the problem of technical equipment of the industrial complex of Lviv region has gained a particular urgency, ant it remains unsolved. In general, in Lviv region the average level of internal investment risks has dominated. This indicates a favorable investment climate in the region and the opportunity to increase investment activity in the territory.

Originality. The offered technique allows us to assess the regional investment risks as a whole and by its individual components.

Practical value. The results of diagnosis of the level and dynamics of investment risks in the region form an analytical basis for the creating of respective programs and forecasts for the development of investment activities by the regional and central authorities.

 

References:

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Official site of the Central Statistical Office in Lviv region, State Statistics Committee of Ukraine, available at: http://www.stat.lviv.ua

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